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Wednesday, April 27, 2011

Shades Of 1990?

Conservative leader Stephen Harper no longer enjoys a comfortable lead ahead of the surging NDP, as a new poll shows the left-leaning party swelling to within just a few points of the reigning Tories.

There are similarities to Bob Rae's surprise victory in Ontario that year: an election nobody wanted, NDP candidates from no-hope ridings who were just phoning it in but found (to their horror in some cases) that they might actually win. 

Probably not, but one argument against that does not convince me is the notion that the absence of a "ground game" will be an impediment in Que. and elsewhere.  I mean gee whiz: all you have to do is stumble down to a polling station. It isn't really that onerous a task.

5 comments:

  1. I can see the lack of a groundgame hurting to a small degree. The polls in 2008 had the NDP higher than the actual vote. It was sometimes the difference of 4-1% depending on the poll used.It's not enough to change things around at this point...

    Having said this, I hope that Ruth Ellen Brosseau, the NDP candidate for the Berthier-Maskinonge doesn't win. If you're going to make the argument you don't deserve a promotion if you don't show up... why do you deserve the job if you skip the interview?

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  2. Ruth Ellen Brosseau:

    http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/politics/ottawa-notebook/ndp-candidate-takes-mid-campaign-vacation-in-vegas/article1999879/

    And there's this one from Toronto:

    http://www.thestar.com/news/canada/politics/article/980703--walkom-mystery-surrounds-ndp-candidate-in-toronto

    Just those two examples alone are pretty embarrassing, and I suspect there are more. And no, they don't deserve to win.

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  3. Maybe stories like this are finally catching up with petty, little Stevie. http://thetyee.ca/News/2011/04/27/CarsonOilSands/

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  4. An important article about Bruce Carson:

    http://thetyee.ca/News/2011/04/27/CarsonOilSands/

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  5. Hah, I guess I forgot that I'd first seen that article here in Curtis' post. Good catch, Curtic, maybe it'll help get rid of Harper if it gets spread around enough.

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