...because you always have to look like you're having one. And Justin does. Sure his party sometimes looks like its going to become an all night kegger, but he keeps advisers around to make sure that doesn't happen. Never underestimate how far an outgoing, enthusiastic personality can take you in politics.
As for Forum, does it even matter anymore if their polls are crap, since crappy polls are all that's on offer these days? They're basically treating their surveys as adverts for the company, and its working. Read the papers these days and you'd think they're the only polling firm in Canada.
Yeah, a party they want you to pay big bucks to attend. Come meet your leader at Stornoway! Oh, but don't you dare bring a guest. Yeah? Buh-bye, Laurier Club.
ReplyDeleteHow is Forum "crap"? They've done fairly well for a relatively new company. You should explain this point more.
ReplyDeleteI'm not necessarily saying they are any worse than any other company, though (and this is just my memory of it, I haven't checked) I think they blew both the Ontario and Alta provincials. My point is its almost irrelevant. Nobody can really test out this claim so far in advance of a 2015 election, and I'm surprised they could find enough people who knew what a omnibus bill was to conduct a proper survey. My point is their advertising/PR strategy: flood the airwaves with (cheaply conducted?)polls and harvest the media attention. Seems clever and maybe even new previously untried. Google their name vs. Nanos or EKOS and I bet you get five times the media results.
ReplyDeleteYou're right on the advertising issue, I don't disagree there, I think its quite brilliant and the fact is that Forum gives people tonnes of data points to look at and play around with, a lot more than Nanos or Angus Reid does, probably tied with EKOS. I like them for that exact reason, more information is good.
ReplyDeleteBut you're right, its impossible to predict this result so far in advance. Its off to even predict it before the race truly begins.
Still, Forum has as good a track record as other pollsters; everyone flunked Alberta, everyone also flunked Quebec, but the federal election and the Ontario election especially were good results for them. Its just since Alberta, everyone seems to bash Forum specifically. Maybe its just because they're the most notable people out in the field these days.