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Saturday, October 11, 2008

KLR VU's Latest (from Guelph)

WINNIPEG, Oct. 9 /CNW/ - In another Klrvu Research sponsored poll done on October 8th, it turns out Gloria Kovach Conservative Candidate has reversed the trendline seen in a poll done by the same company taken in August, immediately before the by-election was supposed to happen.

Given the rough start these folks got off to, and their unique polling methodology, I'd be interested in seeing how they do. They may be the future of polling (or not).
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6 comments:

  1. penlan6:52 AM

    I thought this was a problem/biased polling company. Are you saying they are on the up & up? And if so then you agree with the results of this poll?

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  2. buckets7:36 AM

    It'll be interesting to compare this to Tuesday's result. It may well be that Kovach (the Conservative) wins, and it'll surely be close.

    But there's no way that the Greens are at 21%.

    Here are the results in the last Federal election:

    Lib (38%) CPC (30%) NDP (22%) Green (8%)

    KLVU's Poll

    Lib (28%) CPC (30%) NDP (21%) Green (21%)

    So the Greens have gone up 13%? And entirely at the expense of the Liberals?

    That is not credible.

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  3. penlan7:53 AM

    buckets,

    That makes this poll sound less credible. Thanks for that info/insight. Agree with you that such a huge jump in Green support sounds strange. But, if true, it might be because the U of G is in full session & a lot of the students are strong Green supporters. Although that also counters why would Kovach's numbers be so high. Now I'm confusing myself...lol.

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  4. bigcitylib9:47 AM

    Penian, these are the guys. What I am saying is that this is their first real test with one of their polls. I don't say they're on the up and up, but matching up the poll with the result will be very interesting. A lot of companies seem to want to go with the same kind of "robo calling" they are using.

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  5. penlan12:06 PM

    BCL,

    Thanks for the explanation.

    Yes, it will be interesting to see if it matches up. This robo-calling does not give a lot of confidence in the results, normally.

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  6. buckets12:59 PM

    Just to update. (BCL of course may want a post).

    KLRVU's prediction:
    CPC 30%; LIB 28%; NDP 21%; GREEN 21%

    Election result:
    CPC 29%; LIB 32%; NDP 16%; GREEN 21%

    All in all, not a bad result from KLRVU. I had expressed scepticism about the Green vote, but apparently unjustifiably.

    ReplyDelete