No Election Until 2012

Amid tough economic times and rising unemployment, support for the federal Conservatives continues to languish at rock-bottom levels while the Liberals have reclaimed their place as the dominant federal party in Quebec, according to a new poll.

The Bloc will take whatever inducements it is given; the NDP will wear its best shit-eating grin. In the end, and it will be a ways down the road, we will talk about how the Tories were trapped by their own legislation (Bill C-16, the fixed election date legislation), which prevents a government from going into its year 5 death spiral.

But until then, get used to what you see. Because what you see (Stalemate! Caretaker Government!) is what you're gonna get.

New Quebec Poll: Liberals Maintain

...the same province-wide percentage of the vote as they did in the 2006 election.

Not that the new CROP poll is good news. Quite the opposite. But it arguably portends no worse a result than election'06 actually produced. And the stuff about Quebec Liberals being "reduced to a rump" isn't so much false as redundant, as it has already occurred.

Good news for the Tories, as it might result in...I don't know...another 5 or 10 seats or so (they picked up 25% in 2006) at the expense of the Bloc. But, in the bigger picture, this is probably more than countered by the fact they appear to be cratering in Ontario.