Thursday, November 15, 2007

We're Number 2

The good Tamino has put his math skills to work in a attempt to determine ahead of time where 2007 will fall on the list of "hottest years in the modern record". His conclusion?

So far this climatological year the average temperature anomaly is 0.6055, which would also put 2007 in 2nd place. If the anomaly for November is greater than 0.2, then 2007 will indeed edge out 2002 for 2nd place. This too is very likely to occur. The last time any month showed an anomaly less than or equal to 0.2 was December of 2000; since then we’ve had 82 months in a row hotter than that.

Busy day today, so this may be it.

11 comments:

Ding Dong Kyoto's dead said...

"The good Tamino has put his math skills to work in a attempt to determine ahead of time where 2007 will fall on the list of "hottest years ever""

EVER ???

Fuck you are stupid.

bigcitylib said...

Just over enthusiastic. Changed the line a bit.

Ding Dong Kyoto's dead said...

Sorry, I overreacted. Too much meth and hookers last night.

bigcitylib said...

S'okay. You should be grateful I'm writing something to take your mind off the Mulroney/Harper scandal. Speaking of which, were they with you last night?

Anonymous said...

IF the temperature records are correct, it still says nothing about WHAT may be causing temperature changes. CO2? Sunspots? Ocean currents? Solar cycles?

Like the guys who discovered the tree stumps under a melting glacier, which hadn't been revealed for hundreds of years. They see it as evidence of global warming - a normal person understands that those trees grew there in a much warmer climate that we're in now.

Ding Dong Kyoto's dead said...

"the Mulroney/Harper scandal. Speaking of which, were they with you last night?"

Nahhh . . . I was busy reading up on the Cruton/Liberal Party Scandal


"A while back, Prime Minister Stephen Harper was issuing a threat of sorts, saying if Liberals kept demanding an inquiry into Brian Mulroney's dealings, he might be forced to dig up Liberal skeletons as well.

He wouldn't have to dig too deeply. In the Chrétien era, Shawinigate and other related intrigues left a stench like the sewers of 17th-century London. One shadowy spending controversy followed another.

That $300,000 sum -- the amount Brian Mulroney received from Karlheinz Schreiber -- rings a bell. That's the same total Jean Chrétien was trying to get in return for his sale in 1993 of the Grand-Mère golf club. From his government, a rush of subsidies went into his riding, subsidies that, the opposition alleged, clearly enhanced his chances of getting his money back.

Suspicious business dealings -- such as cash being handed over in hotel rooms -- strike a chord as well. For his bill of sale on the golf course, Mr. Chrétien produced not a formal contract with Toronto developer Jonas Prince but a scrap of paper with handwritten scrawl. Disputed grants and loans counted in the millions -- amounts larger than Mr. Mulroney received in legal settlements or Schreiber handouts. Opposition parties went to the RCMP with their outrage but were never able to get satisfactory answers.

On one of the controversies, Mr. Chrétien was cleared by his handpicked ethics counsellor whom opposition leaders accused of being a pushover and by an RCMP review that, they said, didn't even include interviews with principals. Gradually, the odour went away.

Then the sponsorship scandal hit. It showed, according to Mr. Justice John Gomery, that some Liberals were capable of serious financial mismanagement in Quebec. A new light was cast, but no one reached back, taking what the Gomery inquiry found and applying the template.

Holly Stick said...

"Like the guys who discovered the tree stumps under a melting glacier, which hadn't been revealed for hundreds of years. They see it as evidence of global warming - a normal person understands that those trees grew there in a much warmer climate that we're in now."

Wow. There is so much stupidity in that remark it should be put on a plaque to the memory of the denialists.

Are you trying to say that if a glacier melts and uncovers an ancient tree stump, that this is not a sign of global warming?

bigcitylib said...

Presumably, Holly, the "guys" that discovered this are "scientist type guys" and not "normal people", so who cares what they think?

Raging Ranter said...

The trouble with man-made global warming theory is that there are no (or few) ways of testing its theorems. With enough ingenuity on the part of the researcher, nearly any finding about climate can be twisted to suit the man-made global warming lens. :)

Holly Stick said...

Explain the isotopes then.

Ti-Guy said...

With enough ingenuity on the part of the researcher, nearly any finding about climate can be twisted to suit the man-made global warming lens. :)

Suit a lens?