The Ekos survey put support for the center-left NewDemocrats at 32.3 percent with the Conservatives on 30.2 percent. The Conservatives won a majority of seats in the House of Commons with 39.6 percent of the vote in May 2011.
The regionals are interesting. If you define "The West" as including stuff other than Alberta, the Dippers are doing great. In BC:
That's all based on their opposition to Northern Gateway, I'd wager. And, somewhat more surprisingly (perhaps), they're ahead in in Saskatoba:
Fredericton is as good a power base as any, I suppose.
last EKOS poll.