The poll, by Innovative Research Group, has Premier Kathleen Wynne’s Grits at 37 per cent among decided voters, seven points ahead of the official opposition, Tim Hudak’s Progressive Conservatives. The left-wing New Democrats under Andrea Horwath, meanwhile, trail at 22. The Green Party sits at 10 per cent support.
I have no real theory. Gas Plant fatigue? Tim Hudak's crummy performance? Kathleen Wynne's pretty good performance? Summertime warm and fuzzyness descending over the good people of Ontario? Whatever.
Hard to see Andrea Horwath pulling the plug with numbers like that. Hudak, on the other hand, seems to have a death wish. He wants his one-at-out so he can get on with a life in the private sector, maybe wrangle a slot on a talk-radio station somewhere. But Andrea still has a few cards to play. I can see a deal being made, at least until spring.