Saturday, January 13, 2007

Rank The Climate Experts

The current issue of Newsweek puts the question "What is causing this winter's strange weather? El NiƱo or global warming?’" to a panel of nine experts. Click on the buttons and decide which one gives the most convincing response?

My own choice is clear (button #3).

7 comments:

Citoyen Dion is a Dud . . said...

my choice

Just when you were starting to believe that variations in the amount of energy coming from the sun weren’t responsible for much of the observed surface warming during the past 20 years, comes along a paper in Geophysical Research Letters from two researchers at Duke University, Nicola Scafetta and Bruce West, that concludes otherwise:

We estimate that the sun contributed as much as 45–50% of the 1900–2000 global warming, and 25–35% of the 1980–2000 global warming. These results, while confirming that anthropogenic-added climate forcing might have progressively played a dominant role in climate change during the last century, also suggest that the solar impact on climate change during the same period is significantly stronger than what some theoretical models have predicted.

bigcitylib said...

And if true, your conclusion is supposed to be what?

Might be better if you just look at the picture.

Ti-Guy said...

Figures the troll would miss that.

I keep telling them...a couple of Stridex pads, some deoderant and their chances of dating and getting to touch a boobie will increase exponentially.

paul said...

I am disappointed that none of them mention Jesus and the RaptureTM. That's what's causing this 'queer' weather.

The truth is out there . . . said...

it does kinda put paid to the great sky is falling alarmist claims, a la Al Gore that "Humans are causing global warming"

Causing, as in the reason, not one of many reasons, just the sole cause. Uh huh.

That idea is a goner, but don't tell Dion. Or Layton.

bigcitylib said...

Truth,

These results, if they are indeed legitimate extensions of Scafetta's earlier work, do not refute the existance of human induced GW. It may mean we have a little more time to work with, or not. It does not mean we should not act now.

Holly Stick said...

This article discusses what Scafetta and West did wrong:
http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2006/03/solar-variability-statistics-vs-physics-2nd-round/

and it notes "S&W combined two different types of data, and it is well-known that such combinations in themselves may introduces spurious trends. The paper does not address this question." and it concludes, with links: "We have alread discussed the connection between solar activity (here , here, here, and here), and this new analysis does not alter our previous conclusions: that there is not much evidence pointing to the sun being responsible for the warming since the 1950s."

"the truth is out there..." if you read what real scientists have to say, you would know that they consider all sorts of forcings and feedbacks that affect climate change. However, they know that human activity has caused the recent increase in CO2, as explained here:
http://www.realclimate.org/index.php?p=87

and here:
http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2005/06/how-much-of-the-recent-cosub2sub-increase-is-due-to-human-activities/