Thursday, November 12, 2009

Tories Slide Away From Majority

Their numbers decline for the fourth week in a row:

The Tories remain on top, dropping slightly to 36.6 per cent support from 37.4 per cent a week ago. The Liberals stayed virtually the same at 26.6 per cent (compared with 26.8 per cent) while the NDP was up slightly at 16.8 per cent from 16.3 per cent.

The Green Party gained, up to 11.2 per cent from 10 per cent support, and the Bloc Québécois dipped to 8.8 per cent from 9.4 per cent.


Interesting though that the Libs. are still below their theoretical 30% floor, so it doesn't look like they're getting much benefit from the Tories slow decline. Where is the vote going? I hope its not to the NDP--that would be like Canadians rejecting steak for meat-loaf.

No internals, but I am sure Ms. O'Malley will be along shortly with those.

(PS. Interesting talk at last week's prog-blogs event about what happens to Green Party leader Lizzie May after the next federal election. It sounds like she'll pack it in if she doesn't win a seat, which would essentially kill the party as a credible political force. Hate to say it, but that's the best thing that might happen to the Libs. It seems to me the 2nd choice for most of those voters is LPoC not NDP.)

12 comments:

MgS said...

It means that the vote is drifting into the "undecided" category most likely.

Mark Francis said...

The Liberals need to give people a reason to vote for them. So the drift is likely into 'undecided.'

The GPC will not replace May with someone who has the same initial profile.

I predict she will not gain a seat, will resign, unless a federal election occurs before the coming GPC leadership contest this summer, in which case she'll just not run.

The GPC will end up being run by the hacks who ran it before May, and I'll probably get banned for life from that Party without notification. Yes, the hacks and scoundrels have done that to people before. Imagine a political party banning people who are not members and who have not applied to be. The pre-May GPC used to do that.

FrankD said...

Denis Coderre is positioning for a run at the leadership. Iggy will be back at Harvard for the Spring semester.

Mark Francis said...

One thing the Ontario Libs did right was to hang onto Dalton after he lost the first time.

That doesn't mean Iggy should stay, mind you, but the Liberals do need to lose this messiah complex.

There's still time for Iggy to turn it around.

I think the Narnia ads were a mistake. Iggy should really go for a Hogwarts theme, or, better, the relaunched Star Trek.

CanuckRover said...

Am I the only one wondering what drugs Coderre is on?

I've always thought him to be completely unelectable. There is nothing appealing about him at all. No way this guy gets the nod to lead the LPC.

FrankD said...

I like Frank McKenna myself, and I think he would take the job. But the Libs ridiculous practice of alternating leaders between French and English means he's out.

Mark Francis said...

How about Joe Volpe!

At least he has the support of our youth!

bigcitylib said...

And our dead, too, apparently.

I know the guy that catered alot of Joe V's events last leadership race. He must have had awesome wings.

Damian T. Lloyd, Esq. said...

You say, "Where is the vote going? I hope its not to the NDP--that would be like Canadians rejecting steak for meat-loaf." Not that I disgree with characterizing the NDP as the meat-loaf, but which party is supposed to be the steak? The Libs under Michael Ignoramus are leftover pizza and the Cons under Steve Harpie are syrup of ipecac.

Walker Morrow said...

"It sounds like she'll pack it in if she doesn't win a seat, which would essentially kill the party as a credible political force"

This is the Green Party in credible mode?

Steve Bloom said...

Meatloaf for spam seems more apt. Harper et cie are sausage, and Greens are tofurkey. The Bloc is of course poutine.

nos200 said...

Green Party support is soft. That 11% now will translate to the usual 5% it usually ends up as.

And I like meatloaf more than steak. :)