Nothing on the Ipsos website, and it includes polls up to the 21st.
Saturday, August 22, 2009
WTF Is Don Martin On About?
Yes, avoiding an election based on the men's hockey team landing gold is a tad odd, but so were reports Prime Minister Stephen Harper will base his campaign on seeking a majority mandate, at least until a new Ipsos-Reid poll came out yesterday that showed the Conservatives surging ahead and flirting with 40% voter support.
Nothing on the Ipsos website, and it includes polls up to the 21st.
Nothing on the Ipsos website, and it includes polls up to the 21st.
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10 comments:
Can't find it anywhere. I know some of the pollsters ask the question every week (HD for example), but they don't always release the results. Maybe Don got the inside scoop. It's been two months since the last release from Ipsos, maybe Canwest can't afford it ;)
Anyways, when you see how much Ipsos has BLOWN the last three elections...
I figured that when Mr. Harper made his statements about seeking a majority that Ipsos would release the poll you are talking about.
It is interesting that no one can find it but I imagine it will appear as front page news, in the National Post chain newspapers, on Monday.
Of course, it would be difficult for them to reconcile that poll with Nanos' latest offering so they will just ignore it.
Ottlib,
You would think a poll released Friday would come out Friday. Hard to keep a secret over the weekend. And last time NP didn't report on IPSOS eventually released itself, a couple days later.
http://bigcitylib.blogspot.com/2008/03/lost-ipsos-poll.html
I can confirm Ottlib predicted a favorable IPSOS poll for the Cons after the election talk.
When he says near 40%, I suspect it's 37-38%. What I do with Ipsos, automatically shave 3% off the Cons, give the Libs 2%. That's actually "Conservative" tinkering, given their horrible track record.
WTF Is Don Martin On About?
Don't ask me. I worry when Don Martin starts making sense.
I have media access to Ipsos-Reid's poll, and there hasn't been a political one up on the site for months.
"polling", I should say, not "poll"
A little birdie just told me that the poll should be in the newspaper on Monday.
As you can see on this chart though, http://threehundredeight.blogspot.com/2009/08/pollster-leanings-update.html, Ipsos-Reid is the most favourable pollster for the Tories.
Yep, ottlib saw this one coming as soon as Harper's minions started with the "Canada needs a majority" meme.
Steve V: Anyways, when you see how much Ipsos has BLOWN the last three elections...
You're right, of course...
What I do with Ipsos, automatically shave 3% off the Cons, give the Libs 2%.
Their last poll before 2008 election understated the Conservative's support by 3.6% and overstated the Liberal's support by 2.8%.
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