The new survey from Canada's leading pollsters, SES Research, has a grim message for Stephen Harper's Tory Government: you've spent like a drunken sailor, sold out your base, blown millions on crappy campaign-style attack ads, acting dishonorably in the HOC, and you're still stuck at square one:
If an election were held today, the poll indicates the Conservatives would win about 36% of the popular vote, with the Liberals close behind at 33%, the New Democrats with 16%, the Bloc Quebecois 10%, and the Green Party 6%.
Also, bad news for Elizabeth May's Green Party:
Finally, any signs of "Green-mania" sweeping the electoral landscape have all but disappeared as support for Elizabeth May's party is back to roughly the level that won no seats in the last election.
I imagine this is a case of voters frightened of a Tory majority swinging back to the more traditional parties. Interesting also are head pollster Nik Nanos explanation of the Libs third-place Quebec result:
However, the federal budget, Quebec provincial election results and the new advertising scandal arrest has put downward pressure on Liberal support in Quebec. The Liberals have dropped nine points in Quebec in the past 60 days. Research conducted by SES has shown that in the past there is a direct relationship between federal Liberal support in Quebec and any new revelations regarding the sponsorship scandal. It is too early to tell whether the Liberal drop is short term or not.
There's also a link to a further break-down of the poll numbers on Nik's blog, but my version of adobe seems unable to open it.