A bit surprising, or at least other polls in B.C. have shown support for NG drifting upward. And, nterestingly enough, opposition to the Keystone XL line is and remains much higher in Canada than in The United States.
Monday, December 16, 2013
A Couple Of Polls On CDN Pipelines
From Forum, so FWIW:
A bit surprising, or at least other polls in B.C. have shown support for NG drifting upward. And, nterestingly enough, opposition to the Keystone XL line is and remains much higher in Canada than in The United States.
A bit surprising, or at least other polls in B.C. have shown support for NG drifting upward. And, nterestingly enough, opposition to the Keystone XL line is and remains much higher in Canada than in The United States.
Sunday, December 15, 2013
CPC Minister James Moore Talks Poverty...And Pizza
looks good! “@AbelardoGD: I wonder what Minister @JamesMoore_org thinks about his pizza at the Parliament Pub. pic.twitter.com/ctm9adD4Zt”
— James Moore (@JamesMoore_org) September 27, 2013
James Moore, Xmastime 2013:“Is it my job to feed my neighbour’s child? I don’t think so.”
PS. If James Moore ever missed a meal in his entire life, please let me know.
Lauten On Dale Vs. Ford
A good piece, especially where he discusses what sounds like it will be Ford's line of defense:
A further distinction without a difference is the suggestion that in speaking with Black Ford was merely "reliving the moment" when he confronted Dale and expressing what he was thinking at the time. The facts as found by the police don't support Ford in his belief that Dale had taken any photos of Ford's children, so it was not a reasonable belief to being with.
It is hard to see how it is any better for a slander action for Ford to say that it was at the time of the confrontation he thought Dale was a pedophile, and in his interview with Black he was just recalling it without saying he no longer believed it to be true. Ford has never apologised for such a mistaken belief and has now repeated it and says that he stands by it. To say that he was merely repeating what he was thinking at some time in the past doesn't excuse a present slander if he leaves the door open for his audience to think he hasn't changed his mind.
IANAL but I think Dale has damaged his own case by rattling on about it again and again in The Star. WK says it here. Put another way, you either try to win in court, or in the court of public opinion, but not both. Judges don't like you using their courtroom as a means of pursuing your extracurricular activities. Which is to say they just might agree with the Fords that this whole spat is "all about selling newspapers".
A further distinction without a difference is the suggestion that in speaking with Black Ford was merely "reliving the moment" when he confronted Dale and expressing what he was thinking at the time. The facts as found by the police don't support Ford in his belief that Dale had taken any photos of Ford's children, so it was not a reasonable belief to being with.
It is hard to see how it is any better for a slander action for Ford to say that it was at the time of the confrontation he thought Dale was a pedophile, and in his interview with Black he was just recalling it without saying he no longer believed it to be true. Ford has never apologised for such a mistaken belief and has now repeated it and says that he stands by it. To say that he was merely repeating what he was thinking at some time in the past doesn't excuse a present slander if he leaves the door open for his audience to think he hasn't changed his mind.
IANAL but I think Dale has damaged his own case by rattling on about it again and again in The Star. WK says it here. Put another way, you either try to win in court, or in the court of public opinion, but not both. Judges don't like you using their courtroom as a means of pursuing your extracurricular activities. Which is to say they just might agree with the Fords that this whole spat is "all about selling newspapers".
A Brief Note: Winter Storm, December 2013
Passed what must have been one of the city yards where they keep their snow-plow fleet early Friday morning before it all started. With the plows testing their engines and lights, the flashing red, blue and white looked like Toronto's biggest Xmas tree.
Also, why does Markham do so much better at clearing its streets? Steeles is like a border between plowed and un-plowed territory. Even quiet side-streets like Denison are in better shape than the corner of Markham and Ellesmere.
Also, why does Markham do so much better at clearing its streets? Steeles is like a border between plowed and un-plowed territory. Even quiet side-streets like Denison are in better shape than the corner of Markham and Ellesmere.
Friday, December 13, 2013
History Of Paranormal Research In Russia And The Soviet Union: 1917 To Present
Unconventional research in USSR and Russia: short overview is a fascinating document. I've just excerpted bits below and added a few comments. Of course the Americans did this kind "research", so you would expect the Russians did as well. I didn't know they were up to it this early, however:
In any case, one of the things that first made me love the Internet was Jessica Utts analysis of the Stargate Program . It was made available as a downloadable document, charts and tables and all, and it made me think that the on-line would become a repository of secret knowledge. A library of magic, perhaps. In the end it it turned out to be a repository of hardcore porn, but for a brief moment...
No further work was done until the beginning of the Cold War:
Most of the recent research is considered pseudo-scientific in The West. And indeed it seems as though a good deal of modern day pseudo-scientific beliefs originated behind the Iron Curtain. Some of us are old enough to remember "pyramid power" from the 1970s. Interestingly enough:
And indeed we see that research on like topics continued even into the new millenium:
Bruce Hyer Is A Bad...BAD...BOY!!!
...has infected the entire party, a party run in better days by the man they called "Happy Jack".
PS. Congrats Green Party of Canada. You are clearly on the march.
Thursday, December 12, 2013
Ostrander Point Update
Gilead Power Corporation's Ostrander Point Wind Project was the first one to be rejected on appeal by the Ontario Environmental Review Tribunal (ERT). This was not due to human health issues, or worries about the effects of nine proposed turbines on migratory birds, though the project is located near an Important Bird Area (IBA). No. It was due to the presence on site of a population of humble Blanding's Turtles:
...the problem lay with a road network that would have been built in order to construct and maintain [the project]. This network would have been smack dab in the middle of the turtle's habitat; the beasts would have been forced to cross these roads on multiple occasions and at multiple points during their life cycle. Since the network would have been publicly accessible, more ATV and other traffic would have been drawn to the area. Furthermore, available mitigation measures were judged ineffective. Nobody obeys road signs, for example. And culverts where the turtles might safely cross under the road depend on the species having crossing "hot spots"--preferred road crossing points--where these devices might be installed. Unfortunately, Blanding's Turtles do not use their habitat in the appropriate manner.
Gilead Power has appealed the rejection, making what I thought were some rather weak arguments. However, now they are proposing some extra measures to protect the turtles:
On January 20 the developer will seek to present new evidence to the appeal hearing. Specifically it will ask the court to consider a plan to erect a series of gates securing access to the road network it wants to build on Crown land at Ostrander Point.
“Restricting public access to the access roads would also provide enhanced protection for wildlife, including species at risk, from traffic mortality,” wrote Mike Lord to the Ontario Ministry of Resources (MNR) in August.
In September a MNR official agreed it would issue a lease of the Crown land to the developer to enable it to build the fence, pending the approval of the project. The MNR also sought a “Project Access and Control Plan” for the access roads. That plan calls for six double swing gates to be erected at key points, one at the entrance and at five other locations where preexisting trails intersect with the proposed access road. The gates would be locked from May 1 to October 15. Gilead staff will monitor and enforce access restrictions.
I'm not sure this will do the trick. It sounds from a cursory read that off-road vehicles coming from local trails will be able to avoid the gates and abuse the project's access roads, although Gilead Power staff will be monitoring the area. Important to note, however, that the danger is not from the turbines themselves but from local Oiks and their ATVs.
...the problem lay with a road network that would have been built in order to construct and maintain [the project]. This network would have been smack dab in the middle of the turtle's habitat; the beasts would have been forced to cross these roads on multiple occasions and at multiple points during their life cycle. Since the network would have been publicly accessible, more ATV and other traffic would have been drawn to the area. Furthermore, available mitigation measures were judged ineffective. Nobody obeys road signs, for example. And culverts where the turtles might safely cross under the road depend on the species having crossing "hot spots"--preferred road crossing points--where these devices might be installed. Unfortunately, Blanding's Turtles do not use their habitat in the appropriate manner.
Gilead Power has appealed the rejection, making what I thought were some rather weak arguments. However, now they are proposing some extra measures to protect the turtles:
On January 20 the developer will seek to present new evidence to the appeal hearing. Specifically it will ask the court to consider a plan to erect a series of gates securing access to the road network it wants to build on Crown land at Ostrander Point.
“Restricting public access to the access roads would also provide enhanced protection for wildlife, including species at risk, from traffic mortality,” wrote Mike Lord to the Ontario Ministry of Resources (MNR) in August.
In September a MNR official agreed it would issue a lease of the Crown land to the developer to enable it to build the fence, pending the approval of the project. The MNR also sought a “Project Access and Control Plan” for the access roads. That plan calls for six double swing gates to be erected at key points, one at the entrance and at five other locations where preexisting trails intersect with the proposed access road. The gates would be locked from May 1 to October 15. Gilead staff will monitor and enforce access restrictions.
I'm not sure this will do the trick. It sounds from a cursory read that off-road vehicles coming from local trails will be able to avoid the gates and abuse the project's access roads, although Gilead Power staff will be monitoring the area. Important to note, however, that the danger is not from the turbines themselves but from local Oiks and their ATVs.
Wednesday, December 11, 2013
OHRT Reform: Randy Hillier Comes Back Small
From his website:
Randy Hillier, MPP for Lanark-Frontenac-Lennox and Addington, introduced a Bill to reform Human Rights Tribunals in Ontario. This Bill would allow the awarding of costs to the defendants in a Human Rights Tribunal if their defense is successful. Currently only plaintiffs are awarded costs. This is inconsistent with all other courts.
Not necessarily a bad idea, though I think the last two statements are incorrect. Or at least I'm pretty sure that the B.C. tribunal has ordered costs to the defendant, though I can't find the link, and I'm not entirely sure the OHRT is prevented from doing so. More important, however, is how far Hillier has come in the past four years. When he ran for PCPO leader he was going to abolish the Tribunal, which inspired a whole orgy of stupidity from the other potentials, including current leader Tim Hudak prior to the 2011 vote. Years of touting an unpopular cause seem to have evolved Randy towards something approaching civilized thinking, at least on this issue. Good news, I suppose.
Randy Hillier, MPP for Lanark-Frontenac-Lennox and Addington, introduced a Bill to reform Human Rights Tribunals in Ontario. This Bill would allow the awarding of costs to the defendants in a Human Rights Tribunal if their defense is successful. Currently only plaintiffs are awarded costs. This is inconsistent with all other courts.
Not necessarily a bad idea, though I think the last two statements are incorrect. Or at least I'm pretty sure that the B.C. tribunal has ordered costs to the defendant, though I can't find the link, and I'm not entirely sure the OHRT is prevented from doing so. More important, however, is how far Hillier has come in the past four years. When he ran for PCPO leader he was going to abolish the Tribunal, which inspired a whole orgy of stupidity from the other potentials, including current leader Tim Hudak prior to the 2011 vote. Years of touting an unpopular cause seem to have evolved Randy towards something approaching civilized thinking, at least on this issue. Good news, I suppose.
Gimme Shelter: Bernie Farber On Church Sanctuary
From yesterday's G&M:
How is it possible that in Canada in 2013 “Sanctuary,” a medieval concept of Church protection, is still necessary? As we reflect on today, International Human Rights Day, we must also contemplate the fact that desperate, stateless people have come here with a hope that Canada would treat them fairly, would strive to understand the brutal circumstances which forced them to leave their homes and dream of being welcomed in a country with a once proud reputation for kindness and sensitivity. Instead they have had to go into hiding under the protection of a Church with the hope that compassion will in the end win out.
In other news, fans will be sad to note that Bernie will not be running in any Thornhill by-election. Also, as you can see from the Globe pic it looks like he's got a new 'stache. Very dapper.
PS. The site of JRAN, noted in the article, can be found here.
How is it possible that in Canada in 2013 “Sanctuary,” a medieval concept of Church protection, is still necessary? As we reflect on today, International Human Rights Day, we must also contemplate the fact that desperate, stateless people have come here with a hope that Canada would treat them fairly, would strive to understand the brutal circumstances which forced them to leave their homes and dream of being welcomed in a country with a once proud reputation for kindness and sensitivity. Instead they have had to go into hiding under the protection of a Church with the hope that compassion will in the end win out.
In other news, fans will be sad to note that Bernie will not be running in any Thornhill by-election. Also, as you can see from the Globe pic it looks like he's got a new 'stache. Very dapper.
PS. The site of JRAN, noted in the article, can be found here.
Tuesday, December 10, 2013
Shades Of Astroturf Campaigns Past
Before there was Working Canadians--its website, devoid of all personal touches that might make you think it was created by a real concerned citizen rather than a PR firm, can be found here--there was People for a Better Ontario, who appeared not long before the 2011 election call. Tristan Emmanuel, the guy who stole Neil Young's sideburns, did their PR work which, if I remember correctly, amounted to one single sad youtube clip that I can't find anymore. This effort looks far more polished. But all connected up the yin-yan with Tim Hudak's PCPO.
Monday, December 09, 2013
Tom Adams In Sun: Mostly Sane
There are bits of it I don't agree with. For instance, any fair reading of Ontario history would show that the province's dalliance with gas power predates the Green Energy Act, and wasn't a conspiracy to cover-up (or "backstop") the poor performance of its wind farms.
But most of it (meaning over half) is OK, even relatively informative. There are several bits that are particularly interesting, because they undermine the arguments anti-wind types, Adams among them, have made on previous occasions. For instance this:
Adams said the real effect of the wind and solar investments on bills has yet to sting ratepayers but will drive up prices over the next few years.
...which is to say that, Vic Fedeli aside, you can't really lay any serious portion of the recent increases to your power bill at the feet of wind energy (well, a little bit--wind & solar account for about three per cent of your total bill though that, as everyone admits, will rise in time).
And then there's this bit:
Ontario hydro ratepayers pay Bruce nuclear and solar and wind generators even if the power isn’t needed or used, he said.
Gas plants are a guaranteed a rate of return through a monthly stipend — even at times when the power they generate is not needed, he said.
Which is to say that the kind of deal arrangement that critics of wind power complain about (ie wind farms are paid to produce unneeded power) also exist between the government and all the province's other electricity producers. So why single out wind for special approbation?
But most of it (meaning over half) is OK, even relatively informative. There are several bits that are particularly interesting, because they undermine the arguments anti-wind types, Adams among them, have made on previous occasions. For instance this:
Adams said the real effect of the wind and solar investments on bills has yet to sting ratepayers but will drive up prices over the next few years.
...which is to say that, Vic Fedeli aside, you can't really lay any serious portion of the recent increases to your power bill at the feet of wind energy (well, a little bit--wind & solar account for about three per cent of your total bill though that, as everyone admits, will rise in time).
And then there's this bit:
Ontario hydro ratepayers pay Bruce nuclear and solar and wind generators even if the power isn’t needed or used, he said.
Gas plants are a guaranteed a rate of return through a monthly stipend — even at times when the power they generate is not needed, he said.
Which is to say that the kind of deal arrangement that critics of wind power complain about (ie wind farms are paid to produce unneeded power) also exist between the government and all the province's other electricity producers. So why single out wind for special approbation?
Sunday, December 08, 2013
The Future Of The Green Party Of Canada: Glory Or Oblivion?
The CDN Green Party is in tough these days. Some are suggesting they throw in the towel and throw their voters to the federal Liberals. But I can't say who exactly because I can't find the link. But believe me.
But I think that kind of thinking gets it backwards. The Green Party should continue to exist as an entity that attracts between five and ten per cent of the vote nationally so the big progressive parties have to fight for those votes, to offer them something. So if rogue NDPer Bruce Hyer goes GPC and doubles their numbers in HOC, and presumably provides a funding boost as well, then this is for the greater good.
That is all.
PS. If he goes LPC, then that's OK too.
But I think that kind of thinking gets it backwards. The Green Party should continue to exist as an entity that attracts between five and ten per cent of the vote nationally so the big progressive parties have to fight for those votes, to offer them something. So if rogue NDPer Bruce Hyer goes GPC and doubles their numbers in HOC, and presumably provides a funding boost as well, then this is for the greater good.
That is all.
PS. If he goes LPC, then that's OK too.
Saturday, December 07, 2013
Northern Gateway Set To Heat Up
The National Energy Board (NEB) report on the project is set to be released by month's end. All the media hoopla around the release will occur...wait for it...in Alberta, with B.C., the province through which most of the pipe-line will run, made a mere spectator. Assuming the NEB gives its approval, and Harper's cabinet signs off on the project, this issue will dominate B.C. politics up until the next federal election. Former government chief of staff Norman Spector gives a hint of the gathering mood:
“There are a lot of people in Alberta who think the federal government is going to bowl this pipeline through British Columbia. It isn’t going to happen, whatever the legal authority. It isn’t going to happen. They better wake up and smell the coffee.”
Recent polls appear to have shown a rise in support for the pipeline, but I suspect that's because it has fallen out of the headlines for awhile. Watch sentiment to turn negative as things heat up. And if the feds try to push this thing through, expect national unity problems out on the West Coast.
“There are a lot of people in Alberta who think the federal government is going to bowl this pipeline through British Columbia. It isn’t going to happen, whatever the legal authority. It isn’t going to happen. They better wake up and smell the coffee.”
Recent polls appear to have shown a rise in support for the pipeline, but I suspect that's because it has fallen out of the headlines for awhile. Watch sentiment to turn negative as things heat up. And if the feds try to push this thing through, expect national unity problems out on the West Coast.
Friday, December 06, 2013
Wednesday, December 04, 2013
The Reform Act: The Pro-Life View
Some quotes from a vvvvery interesting Lifesite piece:
Jim Hughes, National President of Campaign Life Coalition, said that while he saw positive aspects of the bill, it could hamstring a good leader from working towards pro-life-and-family legislation.
And, my favorite:
Though Chong is deemed “not supportable” by Campaign Life Coalition because of his support for abortion up to 20 weeks gestation, the bill could come as a boon to pro-life-and-family advocates seeking to run as candidates.
Outspoken pro-life advocates have a history of being rejected from the top as candidates for a riding.
In 2007 Conservative party brass in Ottawa cut off Heather Stilwell’s run for the Conservative nomination in a B.C. riding. Stilwell had launched her campaign prior despite warnings that the Conservative Party would not allow her to run due to her history as a prominent advocate for the right-to-life and the traditional family. The party’s decision was reversed days after LifeSiteNews.com broke the story.
Harper rejected the candidacy of outspoken social conservative John Pacheco, organizer of the 15,000-strong March for Marriage on Parliament Hill in 2005, during the Ottawa West nomination that same year in a move to protect the party’s preferred candidate John Baird, a staunch proponent of homosexual ‘marriage’.
Pacheco, an unflinching pro-life advocate who runs the blog Socon or Bust, welcomed the news of Chong’s bill.
“Since the political culture in Ottawa is firmly rooted in the culture of death, any structural change that lessens its grip and gives more influence and leverage to the pro-life movement and pro-life MPs is a good thing,” he told LifeSiteNews.com.
“Time and time again, whether it's abortion, gay ‘marriage’, or euthanasia, we see that the people are against these totalitarian and destructive ideologies, yet the political class and the power-brokers behind the scenes ram it through anyway.”
Pacheco sees the bill as benefiting the political effort to protect unborn life.
“It stands to reason that anything we can do to saturate government's power is a good thing for the pro-life movement. This measure and any others like it should be strongly backed by people who value family and life,” he said.
So, Andrew Coyne, whose totally hot for Chong's bill, doesn't have any truck with the worry that extremists might use The Reform Act to infiltrate and undermine mainstream political organizations and, well, bring in Reform Party-style legislative changes.
PS. Welcome back Flanders! Love you, crazy dude!
Jim Hughes, National President of Campaign Life Coalition, said that while he saw positive aspects of the bill, it could hamstring a good leader from working towards pro-life-and-family legislation.
And, my favorite:
Though Chong is deemed “not supportable” by Campaign Life Coalition because of his support for abortion up to 20 weeks gestation, the bill could come as a boon to pro-life-and-family advocates seeking to run as candidates.
Outspoken pro-life advocates have a history of being rejected from the top as candidates for a riding.
In 2007 Conservative party brass in Ottawa cut off Heather Stilwell’s run for the Conservative nomination in a B.C. riding. Stilwell had launched her campaign prior despite warnings that the Conservative Party would not allow her to run due to her history as a prominent advocate for the right-to-life and the traditional family. The party’s decision was reversed days after LifeSiteNews.com broke the story.
Harper rejected the candidacy of outspoken social conservative John Pacheco, organizer of the 15,000-strong March for Marriage on Parliament Hill in 2005, during the Ottawa West nomination that same year in a move to protect the party’s preferred candidate John Baird, a staunch proponent of homosexual ‘marriage’.
Pacheco, an unflinching pro-life advocate who runs the blog Socon or Bust, welcomed the news of Chong’s bill.
“Since the political culture in Ottawa is firmly rooted in the culture of death, any structural change that lessens its grip and gives more influence and leverage to the pro-life movement and pro-life MPs is a good thing,” he told LifeSiteNews.com.
“Time and time again, whether it's abortion, gay ‘marriage’, or euthanasia, we see that the people are against these totalitarian and destructive ideologies, yet the political class and the power-brokers behind the scenes ram it through anyway.”
Pacheco sees the bill as benefiting the political effort to protect unborn life.
“It stands to reason that anything we can do to saturate government's power is a good thing for the pro-life movement. This measure and any others like it should be strongly backed by people who value family and life,” he said.
So, Andrew Coyne, whose totally hot for Chong's bill, doesn't have any truck with the worry that extremists might use The Reform Act to infiltrate and undermine mainstream political organizations and, well, bring in Reform Party-style legislative changes.
@punditsguide All for debate. There are stronger arguments and weaker arguments. “Neo-Nazis will take over” = weaker.
— Andrew Coyne (@acoyne) December 4, 2013
But this may be because he doesn't think extremists will bother to even attempt a take-over. But now I think its obvious that they will bother. Perhaps this fact will cause Andrew to reconsider...PS. Welcome back Flanders! Love you, crazy dude!
Tuesday, December 03, 2013
Chong's Reform Act And The Physics Of Hot Potatoes
The official CPC talking points can be found below (they read better if you open them in a new tab):
...which seems like pretty tepid stuff from the party of CPC Iron Man Stephen Harper. I suspect, as this bill wends its way through the parliamentary process, that the CPC will find a means to make it disappear. If they don't, especially if Harper allows them to facilitate the process, then you have to wonder how invested he is in the post-2015 political world.
Monday, December 02, 2013
Elizabeth May Disinvited To Canadians for Justice and Peace in the Middle East (CJPME) Fundraiser
This story has been churning for a week now. The CJPME disinvite tells it succinctly enough. For me the most important bit is:
May had accepted CJPME’s invitation to speak at its fundraiser earlier in the fall, and had not indicated any discomfort with CJPME’s policy focus on upholding international law in the Israel-Palestine conflict. Nevertheless, the Jewish Tribune article published November 19 – following an interview with May – quoted her as stating that CJPME maintained an “anti-Israel stance” that she wanted to distance herself from. CJPME immediately contacted May and asked her to correct the article if it misrepresented her stances. In response, May issued a statement on the Green Party website November 27th denying, among other things, that she had called CJPME “anti-Israel.” Nevertheless, two days later the Jewish Tribune published the full transcript and audio recording of the interview, which reveals that May’s “correction” was actually false.
The transcipt and audio in The Jewish Tribune can be found here. My first and second impressions are that the Trib and CJPME desscribe the situation correctly. May trashed CPJME in her original interview, then claimed she didn't. As for CPJME's stance re Israel, or at least the ones at issue, I have no particular problem with an individual/group boycotting a nation's products as a means of forcing them to alter their behavior, or even an individual/group's pressing their government to enact such a boycott. And as for the CJPME's "Disappearing Palestine" ad, well its tough talk, but the Trib is B'nai Brith's paper, and BB has in the past put out stuff that is far more inflammatory.
May had accepted CJPME’s invitation to speak at its fundraiser earlier in the fall, and had not indicated any discomfort with CJPME’s policy focus on upholding international law in the Israel-Palestine conflict. Nevertheless, the Jewish Tribune article published November 19 – following an interview with May – quoted her as stating that CJPME maintained an “anti-Israel stance” that she wanted to distance herself from. CJPME immediately contacted May and asked her to correct the article if it misrepresented her stances. In response, May issued a statement on the Green Party website November 27th denying, among other things, that she had called CJPME “anti-Israel.” Nevertheless, two days later the Jewish Tribune published the full transcript and audio recording of the interview, which reveals that May’s “correction” was actually false.
The transcipt and audio in The Jewish Tribune can be found here. My first and second impressions are that the Trib and CJPME desscribe the situation correctly. May trashed CPJME in her original interview, then claimed she didn't. As for CPJME's stance re Israel, or at least the ones at issue, I have no particular problem with an individual/group boycotting a nation's products as a means of forcing them to alter their behavior, or even an individual/group's pressing their government to enact such a boycott. And as for the CJPME's "Disappearing Palestine" ad, well its tough talk, but the Trib is B'nai Brith's paper, and BB has in the past put out stuff that is far more inflammatory.
Dan On Polling
Probably the best piece I've read on the Forum Polling cock-up in Manitoba:
Instead, what we’re dealing with appears to be flawed methodology. Bozinoff has admitted that some respondents may have been called for 3 consecutive polls, and that likely wouldn’t have happened unless the response rate was in the neighbourhood of 1% (typical for robo-polls, when you don’t do callbacks). Heck, Sunday being the Grey Cup, it may have been even lower. Sampling methodology only works if you assume survey respondents are similar to the public at large – otherwise, these polls are no more accurate than the “self selecting” click polls you see on websites, asking what you think of Miley Cyrus’ antics.
Read the whole thing, and next time you see a poll from Forum Research, just say to your self "Oh, that's just a poll from Forum Research!"
Instead, what we’re dealing with appears to be flawed methodology. Bozinoff has admitted that some respondents may have been called for 3 consecutive polls, and that likely wouldn’t have happened unless the response rate was in the neighbourhood of 1% (typical for robo-polls, when you don’t do callbacks). Heck, Sunday being the Grey Cup, it may have been even lower. Sampling methodology only works if you assume survey respondents are similar to the public at large – otherwise, these polls are no more accurate than the “self selecting” click polls you see on websites, asking what you think of Miley Cyrus’ antics.
Read the whole thing, and next time you see a poll from Forum Research, just say to your self "Oh, that's just a poll from Forum Research!"
Sunday, December 01, 2013
If A Gaffe Falls In The Forest, And No One Hears It Poll...
Nothing much to say about this Canadian Press Harris-Decima survey, other than that its obvious that Justin Trudeau's missteps have cost the LPC and he's in over his head and yada yada yada.
In other news I officially finished my Xmas shopping today. Fuck you frenzied world. I intend to sit around for the next month and get drunk.
In other news I officially finished my Xmas shopping today. Fuck you frenzied world. I intend to sit around for the next month and get drunk.
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