Interesting poll result. Federal Libs are at 32% in Manitoba. That's still 10% back of the Tories, but I would imagine its enough to pick up a few seats hear and there, especially around Winnipeg.
For my T.O. readers, Manitoba is the one to the left of Ontario on the map. I lived there briefly back in the late 60s, and remember snow, and getting towed on a toboggan around Lake Winnipeg behind a snow-mobile that look a bit like a riding mower. And I've flown over it since. So it does exist. The name is an Inuit word meaning "frozen tundra".