Yesterday, while working to make the world a better place for Canadian small businessmen, I managed to catch part of a presentation by Ipsos Senior Vice President John Wright. A couple of highlights:
1) He's predicting at least two consecutively Harper majorities, due to the "chaos" on the political Left which will take "years" to sort out. He talked mostly about how the NDP MPs from Quebec had no real connection to the federal party's ideology, and how it would all end badly. Which might be prescient, or a statement of the obvious. But either way there is also some simple math involved: the distance between 34 LPoC seats and 155 will be difficult to cross in a single election.
2) Regarding the upcoming election in Ontario, Mr. Wright figured that Ms. Horwath would wheel out Jack Layton but it might not help much (memories of Bob Rae); that Tim Hudak (if I remember this correctly) was saving up his dough for after the upcoming PCPO convention and that the Ontario Tory ad blasts would not start until then; and that a "Bill Davis-style" minority gov. for either Hudak or McGuinty was a distinct possibility.
So there you have it.
PS. Won't be around much today either.