Missed in the ongoing kerfuffle over the half-mast flag, a poll from Leger Marketing (Ontario Political Landscape) shows the Mcguinty Liberals up 39% to 35% over John Tory's Tories, with the NDP coming in at 18%. This, says the poll, is due to a "fairly well-received provincial budget".
Though an election is at least a year away, I think it's going to be hard for the Ontario Conservatives to win this time out. Voters seem to have forgiven Mcguinty his string of broken promises (note to Harper: saying Sorry works!), and he will almost certainly produce a balanced election budget. The only thing the Libs should be worried about right now is if the situation in Caledonia turns sour. At the moment, John Tory is merely criticizing them for a lack of leadership. If shots get fired, the urge to demagogue may become irresistible.