Considering Dalton McGuinty's personal unpopularity, the PCs could be doing better than this. They are still well below the electoral outcome of the federal Conservatives in the province, and the provincial Liberals don't seem to have been hurt by their federal counterpart's drubbing at the polls.
Hudak will be running his first campaign as leader, McGuinty his fourth. Will Dalton McGuinty's experience win out, or will voters want change for change's sake?
Good question. Certainly a six point lead is not insurmountable. And, given the fact that Mr. Hudak has already broken his "no negative campaigning promise", I'd say start carpet bombing him with attack ads. Use pictures of him that exploit the fact he's got five o'clock shadow by two in the afternoon.