Wednesday, February 24, 2010

Hard Rockin Denier' Endorses CRU Data!!!

By night AGW Denier and Creationist Roy Spencer rocks out with his band Christian rock band EcoFreako. By day, he maintains the UAH (University of Alabama) database of daily satellite temperature readings .

Lately, Roy has been engaged in a little side-project--comparing CRU's surface readings to his satellite data to see how they match up. His preliminary conclusion:

I’ll have to admit I was a little astounded at the agreement between Jones’ and my analyses, especially since I chose a rather ad-hoc method of data screening that was not optimized in any way. Note that the linear temperature trends are essentially identical; the correlation between the monthly anomalies is 0.91.

Furthermore, and more specifically, there seems no evidence of an urban heat island effect:

Of course, an increasing urban heat island effect could still be contaminating both datasets, resulting in a spurious warming trend. Also, when I include years before 1986 in the analysis, the warming trends might start to diverge. But at face value, this plot seems to indicate that the rapid decrease in the number of stations included in the GHCN database in recent years has not caused a spurious warming trend in the Jones dataset — at least not since 1986. Also note that December 2009 was, indeed, a cool month in my analysis.

So: validation from a most unusual source. Unfortunately, the EcoFreako website seems to have disappeared. However, here's a link to MP3s of them playing "Earth Has A Fever" (sung to the tune of "Cat Scratch Fever", and "I Want To Mock Al Gore All Night", sung to the tune of...well, you figure it out.


John Cross said...

Wow, interesting find BCL! I had discounted RS since his comment that rising CO2 levels might be caused by ocean outgassing, but this seems like a reasonable analysis. I hope he writes it up in a more formal manner.

Adrian Ludwin said...

A little unrelated, but heads up:

Ti-Guy said...

By day, he maintains the UAH (University of Alabama) database of daily satellite temperature readings.

Of course, Alabama. It's always Alabama.

Unknown said...

"I’ll have to admit I was a little astounded..."

I doubt he was "astounded" at all. I think it's more likely he's decided to try to salvage something of his reputation.

Good to see that Bernier is keeping right up to date on the latest denidiot fallacies. I wonder if Prentice reads WTFU as well?

Tof KW said...

"Of course, Alabama. It's always Alabama."

Indeed. I wish we could speed up the whole global warming thing just so the rising ocean levels and hurricanes could take out this wretched, in-breeding state for good ...except it would do-in over a billion innocent people as well.

Gerrard787 said...

"Denier"? "Creationist"? Even Don Rickles freshens his insults more regularly then the left.

More important is the news of the retraction of the peer-reviewed study on sea level rise published in the prestigious journal Nature Geoscience. First retraction of a paper published in that journal ever.

bigcitylib said...

Paul, the most significant thing about the retracted paper is it put a realtively low upper level on sea level rise by the end of this century. Most others have pointed to something between 1 and 2 meters (versus, I think, about 87 cm in the paper).

John Cross said...

Paul S: Just to back up what BCL said, John Cook has a post on this. The authors have agreed that their estimate was too small.


Gerrard787 said...

I get it. The paper wasn't sufficiently alarmist.

Too bad real sea level rise shows no signs of respecting the alarmists' models.

Unknown said...

I agree with you that Spencer's opinion is of no importance, though it is sometimes vaguely amusing.
And it's encouraging that you considered "denier" and "creationist" to be insults, although they are only objective descriptors.

Now, when are you going to learn that reality remains completely unaffected by your rejection of it.